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Julius Malema: the agitator who changed the argument, and now faces prison

Politics · Profile

Julius Malema

He changed what South African politics argues about. Now a court may end his career.

Expelled from the ANC in 2012, he built a party from nothing and dragged land, mines and inequality back to the centre of national debate. Thirteen years on, the Economic Freedom Fighters have slipped to fourth place, his co-founder has gone, and a magistrate has sentenced him to five years in prison on firearm charges over shots fired at a 2018 rally. He remains free while he appeals, and seven weeks from local elections he is still one of the most talked-about politicians in the country. A data-driven look at the record.

EFF founder and leader9.52% in 2024Five-year sentence, on appealAge 45Updated 13 Sep 2026Sources & links ↓
Julius Malema in 2011, wearing an ANC Youth League beret
Malema in 2011, as ANC Youth League president. Photo: Gary van der Merwe, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0, cropped.
9.52%
The EFF's share of the 2024 national vote, down from 10.80% in 2019
First decline in the party's history
4th
Where the EFF now ranks in Parliament, with 39 seats, behind the ANC, DA and MK
Overtaken by Zuma's new party
5 yrs
Prison sentence imposed in April 2026 for unlawful possession of a firearm
Free on warning, appealing the sentence
12 mths
A sentence longer than this, without the option of a fine, disqualifies an MP
Only once any appeal is decided

No one in South African politics is disliked with more enthusiasm, or defended with more loyalty, than Julius Sello Malema. He is arguably the country's most gifted political performer, a former ANC Youth League firebrand who was thrown out of the governing party in 2012 and returned a year later with a red beret, a party of his own and a programme the ANC had spent two decades avoiding: take the land, nationalise the mines, and say out loud that political freedom without economic power was a poor bargain.

The strategy worked, for a while. The Economic Freedom Fighters entered Parliament in 2014 with 25 seats, grew to 44 in 2019, and turned the National Assembly into something closer to a contact sport. Then the growth stopped. In 2024 the EFF's vote fell for the first time, Jacob Zuma's new MK party ate into its base, and Malema's co-founder walked out. In April this year a magistrate in the Eastern Cape sentenced him to five years in prison on firearm charges arising from a rifle he fired into the air at a party rally in 2018.

He is appealing, and remains free and in Parliament while he does. This profile takes the record in four parts: how he rose, what the EFF actually achieved at the ballot box, the legal cases that now shadow him, and the arguments made for and against him by people who follow South African politics closely. The verdict is left to the reader.

The short version

Born in Seshego, Limpopo, in 1981, Malema joined the ANC's ranks as a child and led its Youth League from 2008, campaigning for Jacob Zuma before falling out with him. Expelled in 2012, he founded the EFF in 2013 on a platform of land expropriation without compensation and nationalisation. The party won 6.35% in 2014, 10.80% in 2019, then slipped to 9.52% in 2024, losing third place to the MK party. Courts have made hate speech findings against him more than once, most recently in 2025. He was cleared over the “Kill the Boer” chant, has never been charged over VBS Bank, and was sentenced in 2026 to five years on firearm charges, which he is appealing.

01
The rise

From the Youth League to expulsion, and back

Malema grew up poor in Seshego, a township outside Polokwane, raised by his mother and grandmother. He was recruited into ANC structures as a child, became national president of the Congress of South African Students in 2001, and by 2008 was president of the ANC Youth League, the movement's traditional launchpad and pressure valve. He used it to campaign hard for Jacob Zuma's rise to the presidency, declaring in 2008 that he was prepared to kill for Zuma, a line that followed him for years.

The alliance did not last. Malema fell out with Zuma's leadership and was expelled from the ANC in 2012 for sowing division and bringing the party into disrepute, charges that included comparing Zuma unfavourably with Thabo Mbeki and remarks about regime change in Botswana. In 2013 he founded the EFF with Floyd Shivambu, and the following year entered Parliament as the leader of a party that had existed for ten months. The red overalls and berets were a deliberate provocation: his MPs dressed as domestic workers and miners in a chamber of suits.

A career in nine dates
Student organiser, kingmaker, outcast, party founder, opposition leader, convicted man. Read top to bottom.
1981 Born in Seshego, Limpopo Raised by his mother and grandmother in a township near Polokwane. 2001 Leads the school students' congress National president of COSAS at 20, his first national platform. 2008 Takes over the ANC Youth League Becomes a kingmaker, campaigning hard for Jacob Zuma. 2012 Expelled from the ANC Expelled for sowing division and bringing the ANC into disrepute. 2013 Founds the EFF Launches the party with Floyd Shivambu on a land and mines platform. 2014 Enters Parliament with 25 seats 6.35% at the first attempt, ten months after founding. 2019 Peaks at 10.80% and 44 seats Vote rises from 1.17m to 1.88m; official opposition in three provinces. 2024 Falls to fourth as MK surges 9.52%; Shivambu defects to Zuma's party months later. 2026 Sentenced to five years Appealing the sentence and seeking leave to appeal the conviction.
Source: Britannica; IEC results; court reporting. Chart: capetowndata.com.
Last refreshed: 13 September 2026
The device that made him

Malema understood earlier than his rivals that in a country with mass unemployment and inequality the World Bank ranks as the world's highest, the unmet promise of 1994 was an enormous political resource. The ANC had won political rights and left economic ownership largely intact. He built a party in the gap between those two facts, and made every other party answer for it.

02
The record

What the EFF actually won, and then lost

The electoral story divides neatly into two halves. From a standing start the EFF took 1.17 million votes and 6.35% in 2014, then grew to 1.88 million and 10.80% in 2019, becoming the third-largest party and the official opposition in three provinces. For a party barely six years old, in a system dominated by the ANC's liberation credentials, that was a serious achievement.

Then 2024 reversed it. The EFF took 9.52% and 39 seats, its first decline, and was pushed into fourth place by uMkhonto weSizwe, the party Jacob Zuma launched months before the vote. The clearest evidence of where the votes went is in KwaZulu-Natal. The EFF had built its share of the National Assembly vote there from under 2% in 2014 to nearly 10% in 2019. In 2024 it collapsed to under 2.5%, in the province where MK took about 45%.

Ten years of growth, then a stall
The EFF's share of the national vote at each general election it has contested. The party rose fast, peaked in 2019, and fell for the first time in 2024. Hover or tap any bar.
12% 8% 4% 0 6.35% 10.80% 9.52% peak first fall 2014 25 seats, 1.17m votes 2019 44 seats, 1.88m votes 2024 39 seats, fourth place
Source: IEC national results for 2019 and 2014, and IPU Parline for 2024. Chart: capetowndata.com.
Last refreshed: 13 September 2026
Where the votes went

The EFF and MK are competing for the same voters: young, Black, poor, and angry at the ANC without wanting to vote for the Democratic Alliance. That market is now split three ways, and a fourth entrant arrived in 2025 when Floyd Shivambu, having left the EFF for MK in 2024 and been removed as MK's secretary-general in 2025, launched the Afrika Mayibuye Movement, which he says is registered to contest the local elections.

The province that broke the run
The EFF's share of the National Assembly vote cast in KwaZulu-Natal at the last three elections. The party spent a decade building a base there and lost almost all of it in a single cycle, to a rival that did not exist a year before the vote. Hover or tap any bar.
12% 8% 4% 0 1.97% 9.96% 2.38% 2014 building a base 2019 near the national average 2024 MK takes the province
Source: IEC National Assembly results in KwaZulu-Natal for 2014 and 2019, also reported by The Conversation; 2024 from IEC figures compiled on Wikipedia. Chart: capetowndata.com.
Last refreshed: 13 September 2026
03
The courts

Malema has spent most of his political life in and out of court, and the results are more mixed than either his supporters or his critics tend to admit. He has won cases that mattered, lost others badly, and has never been charged over one of the most serious sets of allegations against him, which he denies.

The case that made him internationally famous is the “Kill the Boer” chant, an anti-apartheid struggle song. The Afrikaner lobby group AfriForum argued it was hate speech. In 2022 the Equality Court disagreed, finding that a reasonable listener would not take it as a literal incitement, and the Supreme Court of Appeal upheld that in 2024, with the Constitutional Court refusing leave in March 2025. He lost a separate hate speech case in August 2025, over remarks at an EFF gathering in October 2022 in which he told supporters they must never be scared to kill; the EFF said it would challenge the ruling. And in April 2026 he was sentenced over the rifle he fired at the EFF's fifth birthday rally in 2018. The trial court allowed an appeal against the sentence but refused leave to appeal the conviction, and he has since petitioned the High Court in Makhanda for leave to appeal both.

Won

The struggle song case

Courts ruled the “Kill the Boer” chant was not hate speech when read in context. Upheld on appeal in 2024, with the Constitutional Court refusing leave in 2025.

Equality Court, SCA, ConCourt
Lost

The 2022 rally remarks

In August 2025 the Equality Court found remarks telling supporters never to fear killing could reasonably be construed as showing a clear intention to incite harm, and amounted to hate speech.

Equality Court, 2025
Convicted

The rifle at the rally

Convicted in October 2025 on five firearm-related counts over shots fired at a 2018 rally. Five years imposed in April 2026; he is free on warning, appealing the sentence and seeking leave to appeal the conviction.

Regional Court, KuGompo City (East London)
Unresolved

The VBS allegations

In October 2023 Parliament's ethics committee said it could not make a finding, lacking the information to do so, and closed its file. Investigative reporting by Daily Maverick alleges he benefited. He denies it, and has never been charged.

Parliament; Daily Maverick
Why this sentence is different

Under section 47(1)(e) of the Constitution, anyone sentenced to more than 12 months' imprisonment without the option of a fine may not be an MP, but no one is regarded as sentenced until an appeal against the conviction or sentence has been determined. Malema's five years therefore threaten not just his liberty but his career and, because the EFF is built around him personally, his party's prospects. Lawyers quoted by Daily Maverick expect the appeal to take at least two years, and until it is decided he remains free and in Parliament.

04
The argument

The case for him, and the case against

Few politicians produce such incompatible readings from serious observers. To some he is the only figure who forced South Africa to confront the economic settlement of 1994; to others he is a demagogue whose programme would wreck the economy and whose conduct mirrors the corruption he denounces. Both readings draw on real evidence, set out below.

The case for
  • He changed the agenda. Land expropriation and the ownership of mines went from fringe positions to mainstream debate, and are now in government policy discussions.
  • He held Zuma to account. The EFF's relentless “pay back the money” campaign over Nkandla kept a corruption scandal alive when the ANC wanted it buried.
  • He gave the excluded a voice. In a country with roughly a third out of work, he speaks directly to young, poor, Black voters other parties struggle to reach.
  • He built something real. A party from nothing to 44 MPs in six years, with a presence in every provincial legislature.
  • The courts have backed him. On the struggle song, the Equality Court and the Supreme Court of Appeal found the chant was not literal incitement, and the Constitutional Court refused a further appeal.
  • He is a democratic actor. He contests elections, accepts results, and pursues his fights through the courts rather than outside them.
The case against
  • The rhetoric has crossed lines. An Equality Court found in 2025 that his remarks about killing showed an intent to incite harm.
  • The economics are contested. Analysts argue mass nationalisation and uncompensated expropriation would deter investment and deepen the jobs crisis.
  • He is now a convicted man. Five firearm-related convictions and a five-year sentence; the trial court refused him leave to appeal the convictions.
  • Corruption claims persist. Investigative reporting has long alleged he benefited from the VBS Bank looting, which he denies and has never been charged over.
  • The party is one man. The EFF's dependence on Malema personally is its central structural weakness, and it deepened when senior founders left.
  • The exodus. Floyd Shivambu and Mbuyiseni Ndlozi, two of its best-known figures, are gone, and Shivambu now calls the party directionless.
The international complication

In May 2025 Donald Trump played a video of Malema chanting at a rally during an Oval Office meeting with Cyril Ramaphosa, to support his claims that white South Africans were being persecuted. Fact-checkers noted the clips were authentic but that a court had ruled the chant was not a literal call to violence, and that Malema, an opposition leader expelled from the ANC, is not part of the government. The episode made him globally famous and domestically more awkward: Ramaphosa told Trump that what the video showed was not government policy.

05
What is next

Seven weeks to the local elections

South Africans vote in municipal elections on 4 November 2026, and for Malema the stakes are unusually concrete. He needs to show the 2024 result was a wobble rather than a trend, to prove the EFF can win back ground lost to MK, and to do it while carrying a five-year sentence through the appeal courts.

The polling gives him something to work with. An Ipsos survey conducted in June and July 2026 put EFF support at 27% in Buffalo City, well above its 2024 national share, though Ipsos cautions that its Buffalo City sample is small. Its standing varies sharply between metros, and the Democratic Alliance polls 46% in Cape Town. Only about seven in ten of those surveyed said they were registered, and a sizeable share of registered voters said they did not intend to vote, so mobilisation may matter more than persuasion.

The test

Malema has never lost an internal contest and has survived more scandals than most careers accommodate. What he has not yet faced is a shrinking market and a credible rival for the same voters, at the same time as a criminal sentence. November will be the first clear read on whether his hold on the country's angriest constituency is intact.

06
References

Sources and further reading

Every figure in this profile can be checked against the sources below, grouped by what each was used for. All links open in a new tab.

Elections and party record

Biography and politics

Court cases and allegations

Context and analysis

The agitator at his limit

He rebuilt South Africa's political argument around the question the transition left open, and never found a majority willing to hand him the answer.

The rise
Seshego to the Youth League to expulsion, then a new party inside a year.
The peak
10.80% and 44 seats in 2019, third largest party, official opposition in three provinces.
The stall
9.52% in 2024, fourth place, and a KwaZulu-Natal base lost almost entirely to MK.
The courts
Cleared over the struggle song, found to have made hate speech in 2025, sentenced to five years on firearm charges.
The test
Local elections on 4 November 2026, fought while his appeal runs.

Malema's influence has always run well ahead of his vote. He has never governed a municipality of consequence, never held executive office, and never persuaded more than about one voter in nine, yet the policies he made unavoidable are now argued over in cabinet. His problem in 2026 is that the anger he built a party on is no longer his alone to represent, and the courts have given him a deadline he cannot filibuster. Whether he is remembered as the man who forced South Africa to face its unfinished economic settlement, or as a talented demagogue who ran out of road, will depend a great deal on what happens over the next two months and in the appeal courts after that.

Published 13 September 2026 · capetowndata.com. Julius Sello Malema, born 3 March 1981, is the president of the Economic Freedom Fighters and a member of the National Assembly. Full sources and links.

Vote shares are from Independent Electoral Commission results; polling figures are from a single survey and carry the usual margin of error. Malema's firearms conviction stands; an appeal against sentence is pending and he has petitioned the High Court for leave to appeal the conviction. He is presumed innocent of any allegation not tested in court, including the VBS claims he denies and has never been charged over. This is a factual profile and political analysis, not an endorsement.

This article was produced with AI assistance and reviewed and verified by humans.

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Charts from this story

Politics · 29 May 2024

The EFF’s share of the national vote rose until 2019, then fell

The party rose fast, peaked in 2019, and fell for the first time in 2024.

Source: Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) and IPU Parline

Open chart ↗